The War of Two Green Deals

Another kind of deal, another kind of artist

The new European Commission intends to make its Green Pact the core of its mandate and promote a "Green Deal". In the United States, the Democratic primary is placed under the same sign. However, convergence is largely bogus, as there are strong disagreements between Europeans and Americans as well as between Americans and Europeans.
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Le duo Delbos-Senard face aux agences de notation

Serving another type of client
As expected, the major rating agencies downgraded Renault's credit rating this week and posted lower price targets. Renault's management obviously prefers to play the truth speech that will mobilize the teams rather than tell the markets and analysts what they would like to hear.
 
On Tuesday, the rating agency Moody's downgraded its long-term credit rating on Renault from Baa3 to Ba1, with a stable outlook. 
 
It sanctions the group's poor performance for 2019 announced the previous week: in the red in 2019, for the first time since 2009, Renault, which saw its sales and profitability fall, did not want to be reassuring for 2020 by envisaging a further drop in its profitability. This is the reason for the downgrading of Moody's rating, which indicates :
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Renault is doing badly and counts on the Alliance. Nissan is doing very badly and doesn't talk about it.

How long have we been married for? (Behrouz MEHRI / AFP)
Prior to the release of Renault's 2019 financial results on Friday, the presentation of Nissan's results for the third quarter of the Japanese fiscal year, and thus for the first nine months, took place in Yokohama the day before.
 
Nissan executives took the opportunity to revise downwards their revenue and profit forecasts for the year, stating that these forecasts did not take into account the probable effects of the coronavirus.
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FCA 2019 Results: making short-termism attractive

Handsome is not enough
FCA's results are nothing new: North America and the two flagship brands, RAM and Jeep, are doing well.
The rest is just about surviving and is tending to deteriorate without any serious attempt to stop this. Everything has been going on since 2014 as if the roadmap were that of keeping the cash machine running in the United States and waiting for the future ally to either clean up the mess, or reinvest or offer solutions to revive brands and business in the regions that have been neglected.
 
The case of Europe is emblematic in this respect. A.-G. Verdevoye sums up the situation well in the French weekly newspaper Challenges:
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Renault and the Alliance: January 2020's resolutions

My name is Luca... I think you've seen me before (Source AFP)
After more than a year of very turbulent times, Renault and the Alliance seem to be gradually getting back on track. After the many departures to PSA, the arrival in the opposite direction of Gilles Le Borgne at the head of engineering could already be interpreted as a symbol.
 
The finalization of Luca de Meo's recruitment is another. Indeed, even if he will not officially take over the reins until July, with his appointment and the movements that are already being recorded in the management teams, we can already which path Jean-Dominique Senard intends to put the company on.
 
First of all, the idea that the automotive industry is an industry like any other (and where the invocation of a strong specificity would always be a form of resistance to change) seems to have faded away.
Apart from the fact that the case for the autonomous vehicle, which had powerfully served to accredit this thesis throughout the industry, is now arousing less and less enthusiasm and more and more doubt, at Renault, it is the painful experience of the Thierry Bolloré era that is leading to this return to fundamentals.
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Michel FREYSSENET

Date: 
31/01/2020

Décès de Michel FREYSSENET / Michel FREYSSENET is deceased read more

ACEA's consistency problem

PSA, FCA... ACEA (photo : groupe PSA)

Mike Manley, head of FCA, spoke to the press on Wednesday to promote a document published by ACEA (European Automobile Manufacturers' Association), which he has chaired since December.
 
Entitled "A ten-point plan to help implement the European Green Deal", the document aims to provide the Commission with an indication of what the policies should be for the 16 manufacturers operating in Europe.
Extending and emphasising the tone of the eight pages that ACEA's services hastened to write in response to Ursula von der Leyen, Mike Manley began by endorsing ACEA's objective of climate neutrality and even stated that ACEA "strongly believes that carbon neutral road transport is possible by 2050".
He hastened to add, however, that this is far from being the sole responsibility of the manufacturers, and expecting too much from them without giving anything in return could have dramatic consequences.  
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Renault-PSA: one is intercontinental, the other is not.

Renault dans le rouge en France. Mais ailleurs?

The commercial results of the two French carmakers were published last week and, behind the facade homology represented by the similarity of volumes (3.75 million for Renault and 3.48 million for PSA) and their decline (-3.4% for Renault and -10% for PSA), the figures underline the significant differences between the two manufacturers.
 
Thus, seen from France, one would get the impression that PSA is outperforming Renault. In most segments except B, Renault products are barely outperforming Peugeot products and the latter obviously give PSA a "pricing power" that Renault is struggling to conquer. The financial results corresponding to the commercial results published last week are likely to confirm this in February.
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Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance: putting an end to the myth of the Great Helmsman

Not gone for good yet? (Joseph Eid - AFP)
Last week Carlos Ghosn told us a story about Nissan, Renault and the Alliance that ended tragically in 2019. Indeed, for him, if his own trajectory broke in November 2018, then it could not be any different from that of the companies he was managing and the destiny of this fragile Alliance that he was leading.
 
There's nothing surprising about that since that's the way he's wanted history to be written for years: just as Jean-Luc Mélenchon [leader of the radical left in France] said "the Republic is me", Carlos Ghosn went repeating "the Alliance is me" and suggesting that if he was no longer there then everything would fall apart.
 
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