BYD

Le pouvoir automobile de la Chine

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La chronique hébdomadaire de Bernard Jullien directeur du Gerpisa.

Il y a quelques mois le Financial Times publiait en pleine page un reportage sur les mœurs automobiles chinoises qui défendait la thèse selon laquelle les préférences chinoises exercent une influence croissante sur les politiques produits des grands constructeurs mondiaux. Les exemples choisis concernaient essentiellement les marques Premium allemandes pour lesquelles les volumes désormais vendus en Chine et les profits qu’ils représentent pour Daimler ou BMW sont tels que cet "effet Chine" est particulièrement prégnant. Les Classe S de Mercedes en particulier sont vendues majoritairement en Chine et y échouer avec ce produit changerait dès lors radicalement la capacité de Daimler de rester dans la course qui l’oppose à ses challengers sur ces segments. Il en résulte, racontait le Financial Times, une attention au confort et aux prestations disponibles aux places arrières notoirement accrue et ce sont petit à petit ces exigences propres au marché chinois qui très en amont donneront aux produits leurs contours. lire la suite

Industrial Policies, the Business Model of BYD and the Chinese "Green New Deal"

Lee, Chunli (2011).  Industrial Policies, the Business Model of BYD and the Chinese "Green New Deal". Gerpisa colloquium. This paper aims to examine the industrial policies on new energy vehicles in China, while taking into account new changes in the US-China economic relationship in the context of the Chinese Green New Deal. There was remarkable progress in the US-China relationship in the fields of new energy and the environment, which are the centerpiece of the "Green New Deal" policy advocated by President Obama. Typical examples of agreements between the US and China is the series of agreements on the environment signed during President Obama's visit to China in 2009. In the latter case, the leaders of the two countries announced the launch of a US-China Electric Vehicles Initiative. This initiative will include joint development of standards, demonstration projects in a dozen or more cities, formulation of a technology roadmap, and citizen education projects—all based on the US-China Electric Vehicle forum first held in September 2009. The leaders emphasized that their countries have a shared interest in accelerating the dissemination of electric vehicles in order to reduce crude oil dependence and emissions of global warming gases, and to promote economic growth. The US and China will build a green partnership based on the mechanism of the Strategic Economic Dialogue. On the other hand, China has its own Green New Deal which takes new energy and environmental industries to be a field for future growth. A notable trend in 2008 was the "Green Car Project" implemented as one aspect of the "Olympic/New Energy Model Projects" during the Beijing Olympics, as part of the "Green Olympics." Chinese automakers such as Chang’an, Chery, Dongfeng, FAW and Foton collaborated with Tsinghua University and other universities, and provided new energy vehicles they developed themselves for the Olympics. These included 55 electric vehicles equipped with lithium-ion batteries, 25 hybrid microbuses, 75 hybrid passenger cars, 20 fuel cell vehicles, and 410 electric carts for use at competitions. The spirit of the Green Olympics continues at the 2010 Shanghai Expo. The concept of the Shanghai Expo is to be a low-carbon, green expo, and the Expo makes extensive use of low-carbon technology. This automobile industry promotion policy which was announced in 2009 should be highly praised as an industrial policy which is cognizant of the future development of new energy vehicles. The Chinese government has also developed a series of incentives to promote purchasing and dissemination of new energy vehicles. In February 2009, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Science and Technology announced a policy to provide subsidies for the use and dissemination of new energy vehicles. In order to promote energy efficiency and support the industrialization of new energy vehicles, the government will take the initiative in adopting new energy vehicles in the public sector, e.g., for city buses, taxis, government vehicles, environmental project vehicles and postal vehicles. The aim is to disseminate such vehicles nationwide, based on experience in demonstration cities. The first group included 13 demonstration cities and the second group doubled. At the moment, the competitive advantage of BYD's business model, which focuses on cost-performance and cost leadership, is clearly evident in both its battery business and automobile manufacturing. In terms of product technology, high added value engines are made by Shenyang Aerospace Mitsubishi Motors, but mass production models use engines developed or improved by BYD, and BYD is innovating to reduce costs by manufacturing in-house. For example, in the assembly plant for the gasoline powered F3, crucial press equipment is made by Fagor (Spain), welding equipment by Ogihara Manufacturing (Japan) and painting equipment by Durr (Germany). Assembly and inspection are done with machinery made by Banzai (Japan), and stamping dies are Japanese made. In March 2010, the German firm Daimler AG announced that it had signed a technical tie-up with BYD for development of electric vehicles for the Chinese market. Another bottleneck for dissemination of electric vehicles is development of charging infrastructure, but this must rely on the leadership of the government and the electric power industry. The 8 major goals for the Chinese automobile industry were stipulated for the three years from 2009 to 2011 in the "Automobile Industry Adjustment and Promotion Plan" promulgated in March 2009: We found finally that as a new industrial revolution unfolds based on new energy, the aim of China is to line up on the same starting line as the other major countries of the world. For the short term, China is taking bold fiscal action as a pump-priming measure to overcome the international financial crisis, and for the long term, this will serve as strategic investment to secure a strategic position in international competition.

Chine : comment le déplacement du centre de gravité de l’automobile mondiale pourrait devenir une réalité ?

Shangai double spin

La chronique hébdomadaire de Bernard Jullien directeur du Gerpisa.

Le Salon de Pékin s’est ouvert en fin de semaine dernière. Dans un contexte d’expansion phénoménale du marché, un mois après le rachat de Volvo par Geely, l’évènement vient rappeler combien les débats français et européens sur les 5 ou 6 millions de véhicules qu’il conviendrait désormais de produire pour rester compétitif sont relatifs si l’on intègre la Chine. Pour les leaders sur ce marché que sont GM et VW, c’est le cap des 2 millions de voitures qui se profile et vient indiquer que, dans la hiérarchie mondiale, d’ores et déjà, une forte présence en Chine est une condition pour pouvoir rester dans le top 5. Pour l’ensemble des constructeurs présents, l’engouement pour l’automobile dans un pays où le nombre de voitures pour 1000 habitants est de l’ordre de 30 là où les européens flirtent avec les 600 et les américains avec les 800 est une bouffée d’oxygène. Avec une croissance du marché de 45% en 2009 et de 72% sur le premier trimestre, il semble presque difficile de ne pas réussir et chaque constructeur présent peut exhiber une progression enviable. lire la suite

La crise accélère le déplacement du centre de gravité de l’automobile mondiale

Les Chinois arrivent...

La chronique hébdomadaire de Bernard Jullien directeur du Gerpisa.

Alors que le printemps annonce pour l’Europe et la France un assez net repli des immatriculations encore gonflées au début de l’année par la livraison de véhicules commandés fin 2009, la Chine continue d’afficher des taux de croissance insolents avec pour février un enviable + 55% qui inquiéterait presque les analystes dans la mesure où il renvoie à une décélération très nette par rapport à janvier où les ventes avaient cru de 115%. Dans la semaine, Autoactu nous annonçait de même que l’acquisition de Volvo par Geely serait finalisée dans les jours à venir et, surtout, que BYD envisageait sérieusement de lancer deux voitures électriques en Europe durant l’année 2011 après avoir, il y a peu, conclu un accord avec Daimler AG. lire la suite

Leapfrogging to electric vehicles: Challenges of governance in China's Automobile Industry

Wang, Hua, & Chris Kimble (2010).  Leapfrogging to electric vehicles: Challenges of governance in China's Automobile Industry. 18th GERPISA International Colloquium: The Greening of the Global Auto Industry in a Period of Crisis.

The notion of leapfrogging where, in the process of industrialization, a nation is able to move directly to the use of more advanced technologies without needing to follow the same path followed by more established industrialized nations, is undoubtedly an attractive one. While this notion has relevance to all sorts of areas, it has a particular relevance in the field of sustainable development where the need to utilize more energy efficient and less environmentally damaging technologies have never been more urgent.

 

The central question that we address in this paper is, can China 'leapfrog' Western nations in the development of a new generation of cleaner and more energy efficient electric vehicles. Our goal is to examine the reality of this scenario through a consideration of both the opportunities and the challenges that exist in China today.

 

The paper will present a detailed literature review that explores the different ways in which the notion of leapfrogging is used and to examine the relationship between leapfrogging and other forms of catching-up. This review will be used to expand the concept of leapfrogging from one that is focused primarily on technology to encompass a broader view that includes both levels of industrialization and forms of governance.

 

Following this we will provide an analysis of recent empirical data gathered on (a) the current 'state of the art' in the production of electric vehicles and their components in China; (b) the specific local dynamics of the Chinese market for electric vehicles, and (c) the Chinese Government's evolving industrial policy. We believe that this analysis demonstrates that China has the potential to outstrip the west both in terms of its ability to develop the technology required for such vehicles, and in terms of its technological, industrial and governmental infrastructure.

 

The paper will conclude with an evaluation of the likelihood of this potential becoming a reality by summarizing current achievements and future challenges.

Première et seconde révolution automobile : une comparaison riche d’enseignement

La chronique hébdomadaire de Bernard Jullien directeur du Gerpisa.

Le Gerpisa organisait vendredi une rencontre acteurs-chercheurs où était examiné pour une seconde fois le dossier du véhicule électrique. Notre collègue Michel Freyssenet, sociologue et co-fondateur du Gerpisa, présentait dans ce cadre le travail de comparaison qu’il a entrepris entre le première et la seconde révolution automobile : celle qui, il y a un siècle,  a vu son avènement comme industrie et comme produit de masse sous les traits que nous lui connaissons actuellement et celle qui pourrait être en train de prendre corps sous le double signe de la montée en puissance des émergents et des pressions à la réduction des émissions et de la consommation d’énergie fossile. lire la suite

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